Miller is having an incredible season on a REALLY bad team. He probably should be the front-runner for the Vezina right now. If we could acquire him for Halak + non-NHL talent, that takes the closest thing to a weakness that we have to the biggest strength in the NHL IMO, all without weakening any other part of our roster.
Buffalo would have no interest in a soon to be UFA goalie. As a starting point, they are probably asking for Allen, Schwartz and a 1st, hoping to get, say, Allen, Jaskin and a 1st.
I'd say Bernier is the front runner (solely because he plays for the Leafs) with Rask or Ben Bishop the most deserving of the Vezina. Or Lack if he could just figure out how to get to play the Blues every night.
Over their careers, there is little to suggest Miller is significantly better than Halak. Their career save percentages and gaas are about the same and Halak's playoff numbers are actually a little better.
Not sure if this is 'documented' to be true, but intuitively the same goalie playing for a good defensive team(especially one that blocks alot of shots) should have a better gaa and worse save percentage than that same goalie playing for a poor defensive team. Not sure how much significance to put on a difference of .917 vs .923 save percentage.
As for Miller's Vezina. That happened 4 years ago and when Miller was a year older than Halak is now. Plus, Miller's Sabres exited in the first round that year while Halak took the 8th seed Habs to the Conference finals.
Again, the long and short of it is, make a deal in goal or no, there better be success in the playoffs because the second guessing will start immediately if there isn't either way.
Buffalo is offering nothing more than a rental. They need to understand that. They're going to get, at best, a rental back and some minor, very minor pieces. They're at the point where they're going to have to give up more than Miller to get anything substantial back, otherwise there's no point, in my eyes.
Miller is going to sit there, wait til the end of the year and leave. The feeling I get is, if the issue was money, they'd have signed him. The issue isn't money. Miller wants a ring. And that won't happen in Buffalo.
Miller + Moulson + Ott would get the job done that they want to do. Anything less would, to be, be wasting their time or getting little back. Army is smart enough to know that Miller is the smallest piece of the prize and hold out until we get what we want and give what we feel is worth it.
I feel like Buffalo is going to screw around and get absolutely nothing for Miller.