So basically if the Blues have enough points towards the end of the season to make the playoffs, they'll make the playoffs. If not, they won't. That's easy to remember. I'm glad this has been clarified for me.not_a_wings_fan wrote:Wow, you really worked hard on that one.. .Aode wrote:A good indication of how close we are getting is if the 1.44444 shrinks lower and lower as games go on. If the average gets above 2 at any point, we're screwed. So right now, we're...
36 games to play and up 1.43% (2pointspergame possible/pts needed per game)
if the percentage hits lower than 1%- we're f*cked...
If the number is greater than two points per game, then you are correct, we have no shot at making that 94pt mark that seems to be nearly consensus for what is needed to get in; however, that number could go up or down depending on the overall play of the WC in the remaining games.
I have no idea what you mean about if the percentage hits lower than 1%...
There are several ways to calculate it, but if the pts needed pergame drops, it means we are making progress towards the goal. If it drops below a pt/game, then we have loses to burn. I don't think we are going to see it go below a pt/game unless we win like 25 games in a row and need just a couple of pts in the remaining 10 games or so.
My heart tells me that I think we have a shot, but my head says it is highly unlikely that we do anything other than screw ourselves out of a higher draft position.
All of these other mathematical calculations involving statistical fluctuations just confuse me.