I selfishly hope they end up in St. Louis some day. I think they will, maybe even if it's at the end of their careers, I think they both would want to have a stint here.
But could it be sooner than that?
Matthew Tkachuk
Depending what articles you read or where you get your info, Matthew isn't terribly happy in Calgary, and with one year RFA status remaining he could force Calgary to arbitration, get a 1 year award, and hit UFA as soon as next summer, 2023 which is when, coincidentally, Ryan O'Reilly's big contract comes off the books (hopefully he re-signs for a lot less) and Tarasenko will be UFA and probably gone (since we also have to re-sign Thomas and Kyrou to presumably big money deals). So, technically, the cap space is there. Predictions are that Tkachuk's next contract could be in the $10 million AAV range, with summer 2023 on the open market pushing him into $12/AAV territory if he continues growing and the cap rises. But he's one of the best wingers in the entire league.
Doug Armstrong has never signed anyone to that big a number, ever. I would think even with as talented a player as Tkachuk is, he wouldn't do it there either. Also, other teams would be offering the NMC and massive signing bonus money every player wants and as we know from the Petro negotiations, Armstrong at most will only do it "kinda" and at the 11th hour.
Unless Matthew just desperately wants to play in St. Louis and just takes whatever the best number is that Armstrong gives him (which will almost certainly be less than he can get on the open market) not sure he lands in St. Louis on his next contract despite my hope that he does.
Brady Tkachuk
I thought for sure he was going to sit out part of the season. I don't think he likes being in Ottawa. I think he wanted a bridge deal like Matthew got, where he could assert his leverage later in the contract. Ottawa wanted to prevent that exact scenario and I believe, if reports are correct, they adamantly flat out refused to offer him anything less than a 7 year deal, which he ultimately took. I was disappointed, I wanted him to hold out for the 4 year deal to hit UFA asap. Sad.
There's absolutely no way to know what the league or the Blues will look like in the summer of 2028. Maybe if Matthew's here, Brady would come too. A guy can hope
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