cardsfan04 wrote:meh, that doesn't mean much to me tbh. Only ~25% of the teams make the playoffs anyway, so of course the number is going to be super low. Let's say we win 3 in a row and get to 4-3. I'm sure that puts our playoff chances significantly higher according to Elias. But, at the end of the year, if that happens and we make the playoffs, are we really going to look back to a 3 game winning streak in April?
The article even unintentionally pokes a hole in its validity. It says it's a surprise that we are 1-3. That implies that we are one of the better teams to ever start 1-3. So, we should have a higher % chance of making the playoffs than your average 1-3 team. I'm not saying we will make the playoffs for sure. But, the 1-3 start isn't that much of a concern to me.
It's surely not the end all be all by any means. I just thought it was interesting.
However, if you think we are one of the better teams to ever start 1-3......this is easily the worst team we've field in quite some time. And this isn't overreaction, I've believed this all spring. This team does not have one single strength. Our starting pitching is questionable, our bullpen is questionable. Our fielding is terrible. Our base running is terrible. Even the line up is full of holes and needs everything to go great to be better then average, even the most mediocre of pitching staffs can pitch around two batters.
I'll enjoy watching (mostly listening on the radio) the entire season, but I think 84 wins is probably the high water mark for this club.